Stochastic Sensitivity Analysis of Circadian Gene Network

 


Project Staff

*Rudiyanto Gunawan, Postdoctoral Research Fellow

*Nada Bagheri, Graduate Student


Project Funding

*DARPA BioCOMP

*ARMY Research


Stochastic effects have been shown to play an important role in cellular processes from gene regulation to signal transduction to metabolic pathways. These effects – coined as molecular noise – give rise to a probabilistic description of the system dynamics (chemical master equation), where reactions occur as discrete random events (Markov process). As existing analysis tools based on a deterministic approach are inadequate or inapplicable, this motivates the development of formal analysis for stochastic systems. Here we propose a sensitivity analysis methodology based on the Fisher information matrix, which is applied to a Circadian gene network.

The Fisher information matrix (FIM) describes the (maximum) information that can be extracted from (random) measurements to estimate model parameter values. Formally, this matrix is given by

   FIM = E["pf(y|p) "pf(y|p)T]                                    

where f(y|p) is the conditional probability of measurements y given parameters p, and E is the expected value operator. The FIM can be interpreted as a consolidation of sensitivities, which gives the basis of the proposed sensitivity measures. In particular, we propose three FIM-based sensitivity measures using the FIM eigenvalues and diagonals, and parameter variances.

The proposed methodology finds an application in the analysis of the Circadian rhythm gene network of Drosophila melanogaster. The stochastic system is simulated using Gillespie’s stochastic simulation algorithm. The analysis suggests that there exists no unique sensitivity value.  Rather, the molecular noise gives rise to distribution-based sensitivity measures.  The proposed analysis may elucidate the role of molecular noise in cellular processes, which will lead to improved drug design and delivery.

 


 

Iterative Approach for Model Development in Systems Biology

 


Project Staff

*Rudiyanto Gunawan, Postdoctoral Research Fellow

*Kapil Gadkar, Graduate Student


Project Funding

*National Science Foundation


An iterative scheme is introduced for model identification using available system knowledge and limited experimental measurements. Initially, measurements are selected to ensure a significant fraction of the model parameters are identifiable and to maximize the accuracy of the identifiable parameters. The optimal set of measurements are determined a priori using a geometric approach based on decomposition of the Fisher Information Matrix (FIM) into contributions from each measurement. The parameter estimation in the iterative scheme is decoupled into two parts. In the first step, the known network topology along with the partial measurements (optimal) is used in the State Regulator Problem (SRP) to obtain estimates of all unmeasured concentrations and reaction rates. The SRP approach is based on a premise that cellular processes have evolved regulatory structures that optimize the use of cellular resources preventing wasteful accumulation of intermediates and minimize the reaction fluxes. Here, the kinetics of the reaction rates are not used in obtaining the estimates. The full estimates of the concentrations and the reaction rates are used for estimating the parameters in the kinetic models using a Bayesian approach. In this approach the parameters involved in the kinetic form of each reaction are independently determined as opposed to simultaneously estimating parameters of the entire system from limited measurements. The newly obtained parameters are then tested for model validity/invalidity according to several criteria. If further model refinement is necessary as indicated by the model (in)validation test, the next step in the iterative process is the design of the “optimal” experiment that would provide rich experimental data for improving the parameter estimates in the subsequent iteration. This is achieved using the D-optimality criterion to identify experimental conditions that would drive the system such that measurements with maximum information are obtained. The proposed iterative scheme is used to develop a model for the caspase function in apoptosis and it is demonstrated that the proposed iterative procedure can give accurate model and parameters with a few iterations. The iterative scheme is developed for a very general nonlinear state space form and has application to model a wide range of cellular processes from gene regulation networks, signal transduction to metabolic networks.